Causal Discovery via Transformed Low-Rank Quantile Surfaces
Quick summary
arXiv:2609.16931v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose Low-Rank Quantile Surfaces (LRQS), a bivariate causal model in which, in the causal direction, an unknown monotone transformation of the conditional quantile surface admits a low-rank functional decomposition. LRQS subsumes location-scale noise models and post-nonlinear heteroscedastic noise models, while allowing multiple quantile bases to represent changes beyond location-scale effects. We prove generic identifiability of LRQS: the transformed quantile surface is low rank in the causal direction, whereas reverse representability un
Key takeaways
- arXiv:2609.16931v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose Low-Rank Quantile Surfaces (LRQS), a bivariate causal model in which, in the causal direction, an unknown monotone transformation of the conditional quantile surface admits a low-rank functional decomposition.
- LRQS subsumes location-scale noise models and post-nonlinear heteroscedastic noise models, while allowing multiple quantile bases to represent changes beyond location-scale effects.
- We prove generic identifiability of LRQS: the transformed quantile surface is low rank in the causal direction, whereas reverse representability un
Why it matters
This model development creates a new option for users and a new testing obligation for developers. A fixed evaluation set comparing quality, cost and failure behavior is more useful than launch claims.

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