Probabilistic Model Checking of Autoregressive Neural Sequence Models
Quick summary
arXiv:2609.00838v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Test-set accuracy is silent on two issues that matter when deploying autoregressive neural sequence models: how much probability mass the system under test (SUT) places on constraint-violating alternatives that are reachable under sampling and what fraction of the input population satisfies a domain requirement. We answer both with probabilistic model checking. The pipeline extracts a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) from the SUT's token-by-token generation, verifies formal PCTL specifications with the PRISM model checker, and aggregates the p
Key takeaways
- arXiv:2609.00838v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Test-set accuracy is silent on two issues that matter when deploying autoregressive neural sequence models: how much probability mass the system under test (SUT) places on constraint-violating alternatives that are reachable under sampling and what fraction of the input population satisfies a domain requirement.
- We answer both with probabilistic model checking.
- The pipeline extracts a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) from the SUT's token-by-token generation, verifies formal PCTL specifications with the PRISM model checker, and aggregates the p
Why it matters
“Probabilistic Model Checking of Autoregressive Neural Sequence Models” should be evaluated beyond branding and benchmark scores. Its practical importance will emerge in task accuracy, latency, unit cost, safety and integration with real workflows.

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