Revealing Epistemic Uncertainty in MLLMs via Causal-Invariant Masking
Quick summary
arXiv:2610.02887v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) suffer from hallucinations, creating a critical need for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) to ensure reliable deployment. However, existing approaches struggle to detect uncertainty caused by superficial associations, especially when the query-relevant signal is weak. We mainly attribute this issue to their bias toward aleatoric uncertainty arising from data ambiguity, overlooking epistemic uncertainty stemming from model limitations. To further decompose uncertainty types for a comprehensive UQ, we propos
Key takeaways
- arXiv:2610.02887v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) suffer from hallucinations, creating a critical need for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) to ensure reliable deployment.
- However, existing approaches struggle to detect uncertainty caused by superficial associations, especially when the query-relevant signal is weak.
- We mainly attribute this issue to their bias toward aleatoric uncertainty arising from data ambiguity, overlooking epistemic uncertainty stemming from model limitations.
Why it matters
This model development creates a new option for users and a new testing obligation for developers. A fixed evaluation set comparing quality, cost and failure behavior is more useful than launch claims.

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