Loss-Guided Pretraining Data Selection for Time-Series Foundation Models
Quick summary
arXiv:2609.37255v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are pretrained on heterogeneous collections containing billions of observations, yet their training windows are typically sampled without estimating whether they provide useful learning signal. We introduce a static data-selection framework that scores each window with a reference forecaster and retains an intermediate interval within every source dataset. Specifically, we connect forecasting loss to optimization difficulty by showing that normalized squared loss controls the per-sample gradient norm under
Key takeaways
- arXiv:2609.37255v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are pretrained on heterogeneous collections containing billions of observations, yet their training windows are typically sampled without estimating whether they provide useful learning signal.
- We introduce a static data-selection framework that scores each window with a reference forecaster and retains an intermediate interval within every source dataset.
- Specifically, we connect forecasting loss to optimization difficulty by showing that normalized squared loss controls the per-sample gradient norm under
Why it matters
The importance of “Loss-Guided Pretraining Data Selection for Time-Series Foundation Models” will be measured by what changes in practice. User behavior, access conditions, verifiable performance and responsible-use outcomes are the signals worth following.

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